Flux Economics - Turning Deep-Tech Innovation into Commercial Clarity.

Bankable production economics from lab to commercial scale, with sensitivity analysis and project valuations

Levelised cost analysis for green energy and chemicals

TEA for investment rounds, Innovate UK and UKRI grant applications, and due diligence

Competitive benchmarking to identify your technology's economic advantage

First-of-a-Kind (FOAK) scaling strategy

The Challenge

Cambridge Enterprise required an independent Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) to evaluate the commercial feasibility of a novel green technology. The goal was to provide a data-driven recommendation on whether the technology was ready for spin-out and, if so, which of two competing chemical processes offered the most viable commercial path.

The Project

Working as a specialist consultant, I developed a custom economic framework to stress-test the laboratory data against industrial realities

Dual-Process Comparative Modelling

Developed full-scale economic models for two alternative chemical processes, providing a direct "head-to-head" comparison of operational efficiency and cost-drivers.

Granular COGP Assessment

Conducted deep-dive Cost of Goods Produced (COGP) assessments to determine the baseline economic viability of the technology at scale.

Sensitivity & Risk Mapping

Performed rigorous sensitivity analyses to identify the technical "tipping points" (such as yield or catalyst life) that would most significantly impact future commercial success.

Knowledge Transfer

Delivered a full model overview and a technical instruction manual, ensuring the findings were transparent, reproducible, and ready for internal stakeholder review.

The Result

Informed Decision-Making Provided the quantitative evidence and recommendations required by the Cambridge Enterprise team to determine the technology’s spin-out strategy.

Commercial De-risking Identified the most economically robust process pathway, effectively de-risking the project before significant capital was committed to a new venture.

Professional Modeling Standards: Established a professional-grade TEA foundation for the project, moving the evaluation from speculative to evidence-based.

The Challenge

To translate proprietary renewable polymer science into a high-value commercial license with a US industry leader.

The Project

Business Modeling Led the Techno Economic Analysis to quantify competitive cost-advantages over petrochemical incumbents.

Negotiation Strategy

Developed the tactical framework and valuation models to justify a premium upfront structure.

Tactical Leadership

Directed the commercial strategy from initial outreach through to final execution.

The Result

Successfully secured a >$1M upfront licensing fee from the primary US player in renewable polymers, providing immediate commercial validation and non-dilutive capital.

The Challenge

Techno Commercial Analysis for Renewable Polymer Spin Out

The Project

Dynamic Cost Modelling Built a bottom-up TEA framework to evaluate commercial viability at multiple scales—from pilot to full-scale deployment.

Risk Mitigation Conducted rigorous sensitivity analysis to identify the "make-or-break" variables, focusing on feedstock volatility and energy intensity.

Strategic Advisory Acted as the bridge between the technical team and commercial function, translating complex mass-balance data into a clear commercial narrative.